live://btc-5m-board/May 11, 1:57 PM
FIVETAPE / MARKET TERMINAL
Live deployment on Polymarket BTC 5m markets.
Current decision
Passing on Up setup
Insufficient Remote Collateral.
Current setup
Up 0.03 edge
adaptive-hybrid
Decision clock
Obs May 11, 1:56 PM
Checked May 11, 1:56 PM // Passing
Bot state
Watching
Insufficient Remote Collateral.
Current gate
Passing on Up setup
insufficient_remote_collateral
Last fill
Up -$4.36
Apr 14, 10:45 PM // Live mark // flat 26d 15h // 7,670 windows
Queue / exposure
Queue 0
insufficient_remote_collateral
Marked account value
$530.59
Live available $0.00 | Active exposure $0.00 | Claimable $530.59 | Last sync 1.5h ago
Bot trade PnL
+$250.83
Bot +$250.83 | Realized +$250.83 | Unrealized n/a | Last sync 1.5h ago
Win rate
45.80%
131 wins | 155 losses | Last sync 1.5h ago
Closed trades
286
11,900 skipped windows
Open exposure
0
Mark $0.00 | Fee $2.28
Recent windows
Recent BTC 5m windows
12 visible
196 total
| When (CT) | Market | Link | Side | Stake | Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 10:40 PM | BTC 5m // 1776224400 | View on Polymarket | Up | $214.55 | -$4.36 |
| Apr 14, 10:20 PM | BTC 5m // 1776223200 | View on Polymarket | Down | $1.56 | -$0.14 |
| Apr 14, 10:00 PM | BTC 5m // 1776222000 | View on Polymarket | Up | $3.56 | -$0.33 |
| Apr 14, 9:40 PM | BTC 5m // 1776220800 | View on Polymarket | Down | $2.88 | -$0.27 |
| Apr 14, 9:20 PM | BTC 5m // 1776219600 | View on Polymarket | Up | $30.06 | -$2.82 |
| Apr 14, 8:20 PM | BTC 5m // 1776216000 | View on Polymarket | Up | $4.38 | -$0.40 |
| Apr 14, 8:00 PM | BTC 5m // 1776214800 | View on Polymarket | Down | $6.12 | -$0.57 |
| Apr 14, 7:20 PM | BTC 5m // 1776212400 | View on Polymarket | Down | $3.73 | -$0.35 |
| Apr 13, 8:10 PM | BTC 5m // 1776129000 | View on Polymarket | Up | $86.79 | -$95.47 |
| Apr 13, 5:20 AM | BTC 5m // 1776075600 | View on Polymarket | Up | $1.96 | -$0.18 |
| Apr 11, 5:45 AM | BTC 5m // 1775904300 | View on Polymarket | Down | $28.33 | -$2.66 |
| Apr 11, 4:25 AM | BTC 5m // 1775899500 | View on Polymarket | Down | $90.24 | -$8.61 |
PnL chart
Live session curve
197 / 197 points
+$250.83 session net
BTC/USD
May 11, 1:55 PM -> May 11, 2:00 PM
BTC 5m // 1778525700
Contract
adaptive-hybrid // insufficient_remote_collateral
Up @ 0.5150
Tape
insufficient_remote_collateral
U 0.5150 / D 0.4900
Spread
Bid 0.8000 // Ask 0.8100
0.0100
Signal
adaptive-hybrid
0.03 edge
Session
5,498/11,950 windows resolved
Running
+$250.83
Live mark // May 11, 1:57 PM
Move +$1,632.50
Active dossier
BTC 5m // 1778525700
Up
Auto
Pinned
Auto follow
May 11, 1:55 PM -> May 11, 2:00 PM
Route
adaptive-hybrid // Passing
insufficient_remote_collateral
Position
Running
insufficient_remote_collateral
Context
bid 0.8000 // ask 0.8100
up 0.5150 // down 0.4900 // spread 0.0100
Watching BTC 5m // 1778525700. The dossier will pin open position, signal, and book context here between fills.
Matched feed
Context rail
3 lines
collectorMay 11, 1:43 PM
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 5497, pending windows: 6451.
runnerMay 11, 1:45 PM
Mode Hold -> Hold // Action Hold Flat -> Hold Flat // insufficient_remote_collateral
collectorMay 11, 1:51 PM
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 5498, pending windows: 6452.
Feed log
Live feed
16 items
Marked value
$530.59
Trades
286
Runtime
Running
Exposure
0
Live sync13,872 lines
Latest event May 11, 1:51 PM // collector
May 11, 11:51 AMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 5495, pending windows: 6437.
May 11, 12:03 PMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 5495, pending windows: 6438.
May 11, 12:11 PMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 5496, pending windows: 6439.
May 11, 12:23 PMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 5496, pending windows: 6440.
May 11, 12:32 PMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 5496, pending windows: 6442.
May 11, 12:43 PMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 5496, pending windows: 6443.
May 11, 12:51 PMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 5496, pending windows: 6445.
May 11, 1:03 PMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 5496, pending windows: 6446.
May 11, 1:05 PMrunner
Mode Hold -> Hold // Action Hold Flat -> Hold Flat // spread_too_wide
May 11, 1:12 PMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 5496, pending windows: 6448.
May 11, 1:23 PMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 5497, pending windows: 6448.
May 11, 1:25 PMrunner
Mode Hold -> Hold // Action Hold Flat -> Hold Flat // resolved Down
May 11, 1:31 PMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 5497, pending windows: 6450.
May 11, 1:43 PMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 5497, pending windows: 6451.
May 11, 1:45 PMrunner
Mode Hold -> Hold // Action Hold Flat -> Hold Flat // insufficient_remote_collateral
May 11, 1:51 PMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 5498, pending windows: 6452.
Btc Updown 5m 1778525700 // Up 0.03 edge // insufficient_remote_collateral
Last sync May 11, 1:57 PM
Account PnL
+$250.83
55W // 141L // Running
Avg ticket
$32.12
106.4 shares avg size
Focus source
adaptive-hybrid
insufficient_remote_collateral
Coverage
5,498/11,950
13,872 feed lines synced
Fill log
Latest fills and settlements
Hover rows to sync the curve
Account
196 trades visible
13,872 feed events synced
Focus net
+$250.83
session aggregate
Avg fee
$2.28
55 wins // 141 losses
Last event
May 11, 1:51 PM
collector // system
| When (CT) | Side | Result | Market | Link | Entry | Shares | Stake | Fee | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 10:40 PM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776224400 | View on Polymarket | 0.4892 | 438.5 | $214.55 | $21.46 | -$4.36 |
| Apr 14, 10:20 PM | Down | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776223200 | View on Polymarket | 0.0100 | 155.6 | $1.56 | $0.16 | -$0.14 |
| Apr 14, 10:00 PM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776222000 | View on Polymarket | 0.0200 | 177.9 | $3.56 | $0.36 | -$0.33 |
| Apr 14, 9:40 PM | Down | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776220800 | View on Polymarket | 0.0100 | 288.0 | $2.88 | $0.29 | -$0.27 |
| Apr 14, 9:20 PM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776219600 | View on Polymarket | 0.1700 | 176.8 | $30.06 | $3.01 | -$2.82 |
| Apr 14, 8:20 PM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776216000 | View on Polymarket | 0.0100 | 437.7 | $4.38 | $0.44 | -$0.40 |
| Apr 14, 8:00 PM | Down | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776214800 | View on Polymarket | 0.0400 | 153.0 | $6.12 | $0.61 | -$0.57 |
| Apr 14, 7:20 PM | Down | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776212400 | View on Polymarket | 0.0100 | 372.9 | $3.73 | $0.37 | -$0.35 |
| Apr 13, 8:10 PM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776129000 | View on Polymarket | 0.4600 | 188.7 | $86.79 | $8.68 | -$95.47 |
| Apr 13, 5:20 AM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776075600 | View on Polymarket | 0.0100 | 196.1 | $1.96 | $0.20 | -$0.18 |
| Apr 11, 5:45 AM | Down | n/a | BTC 5m // 1775904300 | View on Polymarket | 0.1700 | 166.7 | $28.33 | $2.83 | -$2.66 |
| Apr 11, 4:25 AM | Down | n/a | BTC 5m // 1775899500 | View on Polymarket | 0.3700 | 243.9 | $90.24 | $9.02 | -$8.61 |
| Apr 10, 10:20 PM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1775877600 | View on Polymarket | 0.4300 | 420.7 | $180.89 | $18.09 | -$18.81 |
| Apr 8, 9:35 PM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1775702100 | View on Polymarket | 0.2000 | 363.6 | $72.73 | $7.27 | -$80.00 |
| Apr 6, 6:25 AM | Down | Down | BTC 5m // 1775474700 | View on Polymarket | 0.5600 | 339.0 | $189.83 | $18.98 | +$130.17 |
| Apr 6, 4:45 AM | Down | Down | BTC 5m // 1775468700 | View on Polymarket | 0.3600 | 377.4 | $135.85 | $13.59 | +$227.92 |
| Apr 5, 8:20 PM | Down | Up | BTC 5m // 1775438400 | View on Polymarket | 0.5000 | 400.0 | $200.00 | $0.98 | -$191.17 |
| Apr 5, 10:00 AM | Down | Down | BTC 5m // 1775401200 | View on Polymarket | 0.5100 | 241.3 | $123.04 | $12.30 | +$105.92 |
Runtime report
Entry fill rate
6.33%
26/411 staged entries matched in the current runtime sample.
Avg time to fill
18s
From order staging to first matched book fill.
Avg hold
2m 3s
55 wins | 141 losses in current account history.
Risk stop
Inactive
17.01% drawdown | $1,478.50 equity.
2 fills
Fallback route
-$0.22
1W 1L | matched runtime entries
24 fills
Feature Score route
-$302.89
6W 18L | matched runtime entries
No-trade reasons
Paper Drawdown Stop11,370
Insufficient Trade Activity516
Spread Too Wide6
Regime Mismatch2
Entry Price Too High2
Runtime notes
Board notes, session sync, and runtime account context.
Running
Btc Updown 5m 1778525700 // Up 0.03 edge // insufficient_remote_collateral
Board sync: 5,498/11,950
Last update: May 11, 1:57 PM
Soak report
Losses logged
1,869
-$186,221.64 across 1,869 closed trades.
Expired entries
362
394 blocked queue event(s) | 11,308 no-order cycle(s).
Runner failures
100
Latest failure: Runner Lock Not Active:Stale.
Drawdown state
Trading
17.01% drawdown | $1,478.50 equity.
Loss review
Outcome loss cluster
Up
-$94,248.38
945 loss trades | avg entry 0.45 | avg score 7.21
Outcome loss cluster
Down
-$91,973.26
924 loss trades | avg entry 0.45 | avg score 8.13
Entry band loss cluster
Entry < 0.45
-$94,552.35
945 loss trades | avg entry 0.30 | avg score 9.19
Entry band loss cluster
Entry 0.45-0.59
-$54,018.52
516 loss trades | avg entry 0.52 | avg score 6.17
Learning queue
Primary loss cluster
offline
Up is the largest losing bucket in the current runtime sample. Review that setup before changing broader strategy behavior.
Missed fills matter
offline
362 staged entries expired. That is execution-quality evidence and should be measured separately from signal losses.
These notes are generated from recorded losses, skipped windows, and runner stability. They are meant to drive offline model updates, not live self-editing behavior.